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Predicting where each big Toronto Raptors free agent signs

Mike Luciano
Mike Luciano

Raptors Rapture

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - MARCH 19: Gary Trent Jr. #33 of the Toronto Raptors looks on (Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)

The Toronto Raptors will be one of the most active teams in free agency. Turns out, when three of your six best players are scheduled to hit the open market, the offseason microscope might focus on you. This is a sharp change of pace from the last few offseason cycles.

The Raptors have center Jakob Poeltl, team leader Fred VanVleet, and standout young guard Gary Trent Jr. in line for a big payday, with the latter two almost guaranteed to decline their player options and look for more expensive deals outside of Canada this summer.

The Raptors will try to make changes, but throwing the baby out with the bath water and burning everything to the ground isn’t the best idea ever. They will likely try to bring back some of their best names amid competition from across the league for their services.

It’s time to take stock of the Raptors’ free agents and figure out who the leaders in the clubhouse are for these three players. Will they come back to Toronto, or leave them hanging at the altar in a move that totally destabilizes this team?

Where will the 3 biggest Toronto Raptors free agents sign?

C Jakob Poeltl

Poeltl has been viewed as a virtual lock to come back to the Raptors, as Toronto likely planned for him to play multiple seasons with the team when they gave away so much draft capital to acquire him. It makes sense, as the Raptors looked like a legit offense when Poeltl was in the fold.

After playing large chunks of the season without a non-rookie true center in the rotation, Poeltl changed the Raptors’ game. Not only was his tremendous finishing a huge asset and his screen-setting the catalyst for improved pick-and-roll efficiency, but he was one of the best rim-protecting big men in the Eastern Conference.

The Toronto Raptors will likely retain Jakob Poeltl.

Poeltl is a complete non-factor on offense when he is far away from the basket, but the Raptors will still bring him back. With so many ball-dominant players that require a bushel of shots every single night, the fact that Poeltl has proven to be a solid offensive player without dominating the ball makes him valuable for this roster.

Masai Ujiri showered some substantial praise on Poeltl earlier in the offseason, calling him a Top 10 center in the league. That is certainly high praise, and it is indicative of a front office that will trip over itself if it means they can bring him back on a lengthy multi-year deal.

Destination: Toronto Raptors

Gary Trent Jr, Toronto Raptors
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – MARCH 19: Gary Trent Jr. #33 of the Toronto Raptors looks on (Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)

SG Gary Trent Jr.

Trent is the least likely of the three big names to come back to Toronto, as he doesn’t;t have the benefit of being a point guard like VanVleet. With Trent squeezed out of the starting lineup at the end of the season, he will likely eye a team with more cap space that can promise him a starting role.

Having averaged over 17 points per game in each of his two full seasons with the Raptors, Trent’s production remains solid. On a team that lacks shooting, losing Trent would be a serious blow to their infrastructure that Ujiri needs to spend a ton of time and effort replacing.

Gary Trent Jr. could leave the Toronto Raptors.

The Houston Rockets have more cap space than anyone and a coach in Ime Udoka that wants to flip the roster overnight, so they could be a motivated buyer. The Memphis Grizzlies aren’t bringing Dillon Brooks back, so Trent could be a potential upgrade that keeps them in contention.

The looming threat of the Los Angeles Lakers, who could have over $25 million in cap space if they renounce some veteran free agents, can’t be ignored. Playing LA after years of plying his trade in Portland and Toronto could appeal for the Klutch client.

Destination: Los Angeles Lakers

Toronto Raptors, Fred VanVleet
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – DECEMBER 2: Fred VanVleet #23 of the Toronto Raptors (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images)

PG Fred VanVleet

The fans may not be all-in on VanVleet, but Masai Ujiri likely will be. Given what he means to the team in the locker room and the type of player that he can be at his peak, VanVleet might be viewed as damn near irreplaceable by this front office as he hits free agency.

While the Raptors could consider using their first draft pick on a point guard, the odds of that player becoming a VanVleet-level starter (or even an approximation) are tilted against them. With a generally weak free agent class around VanVleet, the odds of a 1 to 1 replacement coming to town are very small.

Will the Toronto Raptors keep Fred VanVleet?

While there is a path to retaining all three of these players, the more likely scenario involves Toronto keeping two of them seems more realistic. If Trent is resigned and the Raptors are priced out of a VanVleet return, look for the Orlando Magic to make a play for him.

With the Magic having been linked to him in the past, a need for a veteran point guard very obvious in Orlando, and their cap space, VanVleet could take the lack of state tax, great weather, and a unique new role.

Destination: Toronto Raptors

Destination if the Raptors re-sign Gary Trent Jr: Orlando Magic

Mike Luciano

Mike Luciano

Mike Luciano is an NFL staff writer for FanSided with a lifetime of expertise in all 32 teams, including the Las Vegas Raiders. He began his journey at Minute Media in 2020 and has since edited and written thousands of articles covering everything from the NFL Draft to the Super Bowl and free agency. Mike's work has been featured on Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated, FanSided.com, and other outlets. Hot takes can be found on Twitter @ByMikeLuciano.