Toronto Raptors: What are the odds of each player making the team?

Toronto Raptors - Malcolm Miller (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
Toronto Raptors - Malcolm Miller (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) /
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Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors -Dewan Hernandez (Photo by David Dow/NBAE via Getty Images) /

Something drastic would have to happen to change the outcome

Dewan Hernandez

There is nothing fans love to do more than overrate their team’s most recent 2nd round selection. It’s not that Hernandez can’t be good or that he won’t be good, but after being the 59th overall pick in the NBA draft, it’s still more likely than not Hernandez will be out of the league in four-to-five years.

However, the Raptors invested more in Hernandez than anyone on this list. He was the team’s only draft selected (granted he was one pick away from being Mr. irrelevant), he has the largest partial-guarantee on the team, and the Raptors even used part of their mid-level exception in order to sign him to a longer contract.

And from what we’ve seen from him, he looks good. He’s 6-foot-10, moves solid enough for a center, and (reportedly) is working to add a jumpshot to his game.

Considering everything the Raptors put into him, it would be a pretty large shock if Hernandez didn’t make the team.

Odds: 95-percent

Devin Robinson

Poor Devin Robinson. Other than the Toronto Raptors two Exhibit-10 contracts, Robinson is the only player on the team to not receive at least a partial guarantee. It might not mean much in NBA terms, but even Isaiah Taylor — a player who sat out the entire 2018-2019 season — was able to secure $50,000. Robinson got squat.

While the sunk-cost of guaranteed payments shouldn’t figure much in the Raptors decision-making, they do signify importance or expectations set by the organization. From what we can see, Masai Ujiri and the rest of the front office don’t value Devin Robinson as much as the other fringe candidates.

A long, athletic, versatile forward, Robinson has some talent. With that being said, Toronto likely added him so they would have G-League rights after he’s cut. If he completely dominates camp, Robinson could shock everyone. But other than that, don’t expect him on the team for Game 1.

Odds: 5-percent