Raptors vs. Pacers NBA expert prediction and odds for Monday, Feb. 26 (Trust the Raptors)

The Toronto Raptors have a major trend in their favor when they take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday night in the NBA.
Toronto Raptors guard Immanuel Quickley.
Toronto Raptors guard Immanuel Quickley. / Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Monday’s matchup will be an emotional one for the Toronto Raptors, as they face off with Pascal Siakam for the second time since he was moved by the franchise at the deadline to the Indiana Pacers. 

Siakam gave his former squad trouble in a win back on Feb. 14, and he’ll look to do the same with the Pacers favored on the second night of a back-to-back. 

Indiana beat the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday evening, but can the team string together another win to climb the Eastern Conference standings? 

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There’s one trend that suggests that’ll be a tough task to complete. Let’s break that, and the latest odds for this game, down: 

Raptors vs. Pacers odds, spread and total

Raptors vs. Pacers how to watch 

  • Date: Monday, Feb. 26
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ESt
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
  • How to watch (TV): Sportsnet CA, Bally Sports Indiana
  • Raptors record: 21-36
  • Pistons record: 33-25

Raptors vs. Pacers injury reports

Raptors injury report

  • Javon Freeman-Liberty – out
  • Markquis Nowell – out
  • Jontay Porter – out

Pacers injury report

  • Not submitted yet

Raptors vs. Pacers key players to watch

Toronto Raptors

Immanuel Quickley: Quickley has been red hot from beyond the arc, hitting 11 3-point shots in his last two games while scoring 24 points in each contest. The young guard is averaging 15.8 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game while shooting 41.1 percent from 3 this season. 

Indiana Pacers

Pascal Siakam: The longtime Raptor gets to face his former team for the second time since he was traded to Indiana. Siakam is averaging 20.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game with the Pacers, and he dropped 23 points on his former team earlier this month. 

Raptors vs. Pacers prediction and pick

The key trend I’m looking at in this game? Fading the Pacers on the second night of a back-to-back.

Indiana has been brutal in this spot this season, posting the worst ATS record in the NBA on the second night of back-to-backs (2-8).

That’s extremely concerning, especially against a Toronto team that has held its own as a road underdog, going 12-11-1 against the spread. 

These teams played a close game in Toronto on Feb. 14, with the Pacers pulling out a two-point road win. 

I am concerned about the Pacers’ injury report, as the team may look to take it easy with All-Star Tyrese Haliburton since he’s been nursing a hamstring injury for a good chunk of the season. While I expect him to play, does Indiana limit his minutes? 

Toronto has looked much better since the All-Star break, blowing out the Brooklyn Nets before pulling off a major road win against Atlanta on Friday night. 

The team comes into this game well rested, and I wouldn't be shocked if it keeps things close with an Indiana team that loves to get out and run, but also doesn’t defend at a high level, this season. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.